Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | Aug 4, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 105 |
| $0.999 |
| $104.9 |
| Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump before July?No | buy | 35.27 | $0.999 | $35.23 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?No | buy | 35.07 | $0.998 | $35 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?No | buy | 35.07 | $0.998 | $35 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 20–27?No | buy | 105.23 | $0.998 | $105.02 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?No | buy | 105.01 | $0.998 | $104.8 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 104.32 | $0.999 | $104.22 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Fartcoin dip to $0.85 before June?No | buy | 0.48 | $0.999 | $0.48 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.999 | $104 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Kanye tweet 200-399 times February 20-28?No | buy | 96.82 | $0.998 | $96.63 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on February 21?No | buy | 97.97 | $0.998 | $97.77 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Kanye tweet between 250-299 times February 8-14?No | buy | 90.14 | $0.999 | $90.05 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Solana above $240 on February 7?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 XRP all time high by January 31?No | buy | 82.08 | $0.999 | $82 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Solana above $260 on January 31?No | buy | 76.48 | $0.997 | $76.25 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?No | buy | 65.33 | $0.999 | $65.26 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $7-10b on inauguration day?No | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Jan 10-17?No | buy | 58.06 | $0.999 | $58 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?No | buy | 51.1 | $0.998 | $51 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Ethena crash in 2024?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will XRP flip ETH in 2024?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.998 | $1.55 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.999 | $1.55 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will US add more than 300k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.966 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will US add between 250k and 300k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.910 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will US add between 200k and 250k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.07 | $0.750 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will US add between 150k and 200k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.07 | $0.730 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will US add between 100k and 150k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.840 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will US add less than 100k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.870 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.900 | $0.04 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 X drops antitrust case in 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.950 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.946 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.996 | $0.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.979 | $0.02 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Pershing Square IPO in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.995 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.990 | $0.03 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.990 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.952 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.951 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.980 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.990 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.996 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.981 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.989 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.988 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.990 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.991 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Another monkeypox case in US in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.890 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |