Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 10 Jan 2025, the highest close was 42% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 19% on 7 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 23.5% on 13 Dec 2024. $10.54K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 1:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 10 Jan 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 42.0% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.03K |
| Biffski | Yes | 401 |
| Andrew1313 | Yes | 34.48 |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 16.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 227,000 in November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 200,000 (inclusive) and 250,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November, scheduled to be released on January 10, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-december
| Ciklop | No | 0.08 |
| HGFd356 | No | 0.07 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 0.07 |
| Asia137 | No | 0.07 |
| Buer | No | 0.07 |
| oposite | Yes | 0.05 |
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