Analytics
Yes is at 36%, down 14 points from 50% when the market opened on 15 Sep 2026.
Across the 39 daily closes on record from 15 Sep 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 53%; a month before, 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 17.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 36 markets under “UEFA Conference League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase”.
$733.1 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $83.76, with a 16.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $50.51 bought Yes and $207.8 bought No.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 110 shares; the largest No position is conherence with 234.
Trading closes on 31 Jan 2027, 98 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 1:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 36.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| conherence | No | 234 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 110.25 |
| crescendolls | Yes | 105.03 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 9th through 24th, inclusive, in the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 9th through 24th in the league phase (e.g. they clinch a place in the top 8, or they are mathematically unable to finish above 25th), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League league phase is canceled or is not completed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-conference-league-team-to-finish-9th-24th-in-league-phase
23 more markets, none above 67.0%.
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 79.99 |
| NotAnIdiot | No | 53.02 |
| AJSV | Yes | 20 |
| Violet Quasar 2599 | No | 20 |
| hadarhaddad | No | 4.15 |
| youyizhiguangg | No | 2.83 |
| Slimy-Coin | No | 1.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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