Analytics
Yes is at 52%, up 2 points from 50% when the market opened on 15 Sep 2026.
The high was 73% on 16 Oct 2026 and the low 26.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 61%; a month ago, 50.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 26.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 36 markets under “UEFA Conference League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase”.
$82.86 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $202.86 since listing. The order book holds $36.29, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is crescendolls with 20 shares; the largest No position is conherence with 38.
Trading closes on 31 Jan 2027, 108 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 7:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 52.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| conherence | No | 38.12 |
| crescendolls | Yes | 20 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 9th through 24th, inclusive, in the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 9th through 24th in the league phase (e.g. they clinch a place in the top 8, or they are mathematically unable to finish above 25th), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League league phase is canceled or is not completed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-conference-league-team-to-finish-9th-24th-in-league-phase
23 more markets, none above 51.5%.
| UpTheStairs |
| No |
| 20 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 18.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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