Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 12.5% on 28 Jun 2026. $5.51K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| monkeybox | Yes | 1.55K |
| Royal Harbor 217A | Yes | 160 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| sirjhow01 | Yes | 10 |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright | Yes | 7.25 |
| expertgambler | No | 6.8 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| PPMT | No | 0.04 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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