Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 14 points from 14% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 3.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?”.
$197.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.3K since listing. The order book holds $1.21K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 38 trades, $18.74 bought Yes and $547 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 138 shares; the largest No position is vinii with 296. Ten wallets hold 83.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vinii | No | 295.6 |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | No | 281.66 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 138.3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by
| melonmanm |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 60 |
| 7...44444 | Yes | 45.28 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 40 |
| a5533 | Yes | 40 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| sm-02 | Yes | 23.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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