Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 14 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 12.5% on 25 Aug 2025 and the low 0.3% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 12.5% on 25 Aug 2025. $78.47K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 49 points · 14 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 133 |
| SOSA | Yes | 86.62 |
| SnowTexican | Yes | 84.93 |
| Nikschumi | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant. An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant U.S. federal court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sue-powell-by-september-30
| hockeyjet | Yes | 7.69 |
| Zbky | Yes | 5.56 |
| AiBird | Yes | 5 |
| superrydr | Yes | 2 |
| studmuffin6969 | No | 0.03 |
| Gallacher | No | 0.02 |
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