Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 93% on 3 Aug 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 90% on 31 Jul 2026. $1.19K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 9:16 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2026	43.5%
1 Sep 2026	17.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
aenews2	Yes	184.89
80sdfs	Yes	38.27
Quarrelsome-Branch	Yes	15
bertross	Yes	15

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf