Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.75K | $0.870 | $5.32K | +$316.17 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 5.56 |
| $0.360 |
| $5.31 |
| +$3.31 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.400 | $2.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? | Yes | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | No | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | No | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 13.33 | $0.150 | $1.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 3.39 | $0.590 | $1.9 | -$0.1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 3.39 | $0.590 | $1.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.66 | $0.430 | $1.84 | -$0.16 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $1.76 | -$0.24 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.090 | $1.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 8 | $0.250 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 7.15 | $0.280 | $1.54 | -$0.47 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 6.06 | $0.330 | $1.24 | -$0.76 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 9.47 | $0.634 | $1.18 | -$4.82 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 5.71 | $0.350 | $1.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 48.33 | $0.083 | $1.14 | -$2.86 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.055 |
| $1.1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Yes | sell | 125.55 | $0.340 | $42.69 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 136.74 | $0.999 | $136.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?Yes | sell | 46.15 | $0.042 | $1.94 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.690 | $2.99 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.700 | $3.89 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | sell | 34.28 | $0.320 | $10.97 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 7.11 | $0.810 | $5.76 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | sell | 20.81 | $0.997 | $20.75 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 6.59 | $0.900 | $5.93 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 14.63 | $0.430 | $6.29 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.78 | $0.220 | $7.65 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 10.78 | $0.540 | $5.82 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 19.6 | $0.500 | $9.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 10.72 | $0.550 | $5.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 7.15 | $0.550 | $3.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.550 | $3.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.550 | $5.89 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.550 | $5.89 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.550 | $3.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.550 | $3.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 7.15 | $0.550 | $3.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.550 | $5.89 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.550 | $1.96 | Aug 2, 2026 |