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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 321.42 | $0.276 | $72.32 | -$16.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
| No |
| 30.25 |
| $0.514 |
| $16.79 |
| +$1.23 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 25.2 | $0.590 | $14.37 | -$0.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.08 | $0.196 | $10.17 | -$10.78 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 9.04 | $0.830 | $9.03 | +$1.53 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 53.79 | $0.180 | $7.8 | -$1.88 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 7.89 | $0.350 | $7.53 | +$4.77 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 225.53 | $0.172 | $7.33 | -$31.42 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 22.54 | $0.269 | $6.31 | +$0.25 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 17.22 | $0.384 | $5 | -$1.62 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 20.91 | $0.553 | $4.91 | -$6.66 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 34 | $0.320 | $4.59 | -$6.29 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.320 | $2.01 | -$2.14 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.640 | $2 | +$0.05 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.97 | $0.700 | $1.35 | -$0.03 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 23.91 | $0.110 | $1.31 | -$1.32 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | Yes | 4.13 | $0.750 | $1.05 | -$2.05 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 18.76 | $0.144 | $0.89 | -$1.81 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 3.32 | $0.440 | $0.85 | -$0.61 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 4.39 | $0.280 | $0.21 | -$1.02 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | Yes | 40.42 | $0.140 | $0.02 | -$5.64 |