Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 18 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2025 to 27 Oct 2025, the highest close was 60.5% on 22 Oct 2025 and the lowest 34.5% on 26 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 45% on 24 Oct 2025. $389.9 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 18 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2025, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | 50.5% |
| 27 Oct 2025 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Sailing | Yes | 40.71 |
| Narcoins | Yes | 16.39 |
| lissartter | Yes | 11.97 |
| imnotagambler | Yes | 2.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 20, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and October 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-20-october-26
| Mars9206 | Yes | 1.52 |
| Pijumbo | No | 0.03 |
| yoyo424269 | Yes | 0.01 |
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