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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.17 |
| $0.969 |
| $1.13 |
| Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Mineral" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fair relationship" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.008 | $15.95 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.790 | $0.83 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.100 | $0.33 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in October?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.290 | $0.3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.070 | $0.26 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.070 | $0.22 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.031 | $0.11 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.630 | $0.83 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.620 | $0.87 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.830 | $0.88 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.800 | $1.9 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.610 | $1.79 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.046 | $0.94 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | sell | 1.19 | $0.830 | $0.99 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.06 | $0.360 | $5.06 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 775 | $0.008 | $6.2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.710 | $0.99 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.033 | $0.97 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.975 | $0.99 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.530 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Marxism" in October?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.820 | $1.07 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.280 | $1.16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 2.45K | $0.003 | $7.34 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 486 | $0.005 | $2.43 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 24.47 | $0.300 | $7.34 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?Yes | sell | 2.42 | $0.870 | $2.11 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 10.69K | $0.003 | $30 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Variable" during October press conference?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionNo | sell | 2.06 | $0.840 | $1.73 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.912 | $2.11 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 6.63 | $0.353 | $2.34 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.39 | $0.810 | $1.13 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.45 | $0.966 | $2.37 | Oct 21, 2025 |