Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 29% on 17 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 29% on 17 Aug 2025 and the low 0.4% on 25 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 15% on 18 Aug 2025. $10.89K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 8:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 17 Aug 2025 – 25 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | 29.0% |
| 25 Aug 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.82K |
| Oo1o | Yes | 383.6 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 143.05 |
| lissartter | Yes | 120.41 |
| Beeter | Yes | 61.54 |
| zoldado | Yes | 40 |
| Lavish-Monopoly | Yes | 14.29 |
| proximus94 | Yes | 14.29 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 14 |
| noanon | Yes | 12.35 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 18, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and August 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-18-24
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