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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 84.62 | $0.130 | $11 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 129.34 |
| $0.162 |
| $21 |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will more than 23 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal vs. Leeds United end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Putin body double in Alaska confirmed by August 31?Yes | buy | 173.42 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 ECB rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 96.67 | $0.041 | $4 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on August 23?Down | buy | 397.94 | $0.013 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Yes | buy | 60.53 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on August 25?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Russia announces air truce by August 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $116K on August 25?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |