Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 4 Feb 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 38% on 4 Feb 2025. $227.3K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 3K |
| Fesfouss | Yes | 578.15 |
| Highwayman | Yes | 285.71 |
| ArthurGreen | Yes | 229.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 10% general tariff on China by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-china-before-may
| whydafucc | Yes | 222.22 |
| sergeycirov | Yes | 210.32 |
| pizzaboy | Yes | 100 |
| GeorgioCiao | Yes | 71.93 |
| SuzyANDSword | Yes | 71.9 |
| Narcoins | Yes | 55.97 |
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