Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 12.5% on 11 Sep 2026. $3.66K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 52.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lissartter | Yes | 111.08 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 60 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tristan-buckmaster-sues-openai-by
New to prediction markets?
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 43.24 |
| nana130299 | Yes | 40 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Bland-Lighting | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| cacato | Yes | 6.31 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
