Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 23 Jul 2026.
A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.1%.
It is one of 43 markets under “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”.
$546.33K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.21M, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 217 trades, $145.67 bought Yes and $14.88K bought No; the largest was a $1.13K buy of No at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA with 440.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.58M. Ten wallets hold 83.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 8:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 79 points · 23 Jul 2026 – 10 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.58M |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Yes | 440.71K |
| Brokie | Yes | 319K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028
30 more markets, none above 0.4%.
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 303.65K |
| caviaro | Yes | 138.6K |
| petanimal | Yes | 126.03K |
| J-E-R | Yes | 121.13K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 88.25K |
| Mustafalafel | Yes | 86.63K |
| alwayslatetotheparty | Yes | 86.14K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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