Analytics
Yes is at 31.5%, down 8.5 points from 40% when the market opened on 7 Jul 2026.
Across the 109 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77.5% on 26 Aug 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 11 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 51.5%; a month before, 64.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 54.5% on 19 Jul 2026.
No HR in 2026 is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?”, ahead of Louis J. Crishock at 25.4%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.45K since listing. The order book holds $283.96, with a 23.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 327 trades, $3.01K bought Yes and $1.46K bought No; the largest was a $1.44K buy of Yes at 67.6¢.
The largest Yes position is varch01 with 100 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 252. Ten wallets hold 87.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 40.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 251.78 |
| varch01 | Yes | 100 |
| Dapsy | Yes | 80 |
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727
| SmartBoyBilly |
| Yes |
| 58.01 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 49.69 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 47.2 |
| freedom69 | No | 38.19 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 27.02 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 25.81 |
| Gohst- | No | 20.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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