Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 197 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92% on 1 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 86% on 28 Nov 2025. $77.72K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 6:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 197 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aching-Nutmeg | Yes | 1.5K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-theo-launch-a-token-by
| LifeFastLive | No | 707.37 |
| Liquidifier | Yes | 267.99 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| trypol2353-pls | Yes | 118 |
| Dr.Know | Yes | 100 |
| fm14 | Yes | 100 |
| PPMT | Yes | 44.95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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