Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 14 points from 18% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.2% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 10.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?”.
$6.84 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.56K since listing. The order book holds $10.61K, with a 3.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 33 trades, $90.72 bought Yes and $555.75 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ToTheWindow with 540 shares; the largest No position is Oskoreiter with 530.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ToTheWindow | Yes | 539.99 |
| Oskoreiter | No | 529.86 |
| clazzy1 | No | 374.52 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, exercises, or other operations outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility, including in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command area of responsibility, will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will arrive, is en route, or is heading to the Middle East will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying arrival has occurred. A qualifying arrival will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 308.64 |
| Swift Orbit ABF8 | No | 99.99 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 95.34 |
| Konfucious | No | 31.84 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 25 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 21.8 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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