Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 258 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 20 Aug 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 67.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 79.5% on 8 Nov 2025. $8.2K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 258 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 20 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 67.5% |
| 20 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 50sad | No | 411.87 |
| 25oodksmsss09 | No | 323.3 |
| Kisher | No | 290.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 250.54 |
| Trusty-Avenue | No | 210.53 |
| dsosods | No | 72.28 |
| PPMT | No | 62.77 |
| qcp1 | No | 60 |
| akko123 | No | 48 |
| Swift Raven DD43 | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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