Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 91% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 136 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 20 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 90.5% on 8 Nov 2025.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 136 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 91.0% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Harbor C598 | No | 666.66 |
| Squiggly-Midcourse | No | 142.86 |
| wendypeekaboo | No | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027
| fang1957 | No | 80 |
| Tiny-Visa | No | 29.81 |
| Notable-Rubric | No | 14 |
| jjzzh | No | 5 |
| RedVelvetWendy | No | 5 |
| rikitikitaki | No | 5 |
| Awesome-Diver | Yes | 3.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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