Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, about where the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.4% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”.
$60.78K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.41M since listing. The order book holds $79.97K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is TexasOx with 584.3K shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 289.3K. Ten wallets hold 77.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TexasOx | Yes | 584.3K |
| elmcap2 | No | 289.3K |
| NWORobotics | Yes | 64.24K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
| Avamax |
| No |
| 60.42K |
| xasd-440 | Yes | 51.11K |
| Dafu0715 | No | 50K |
| Trump2028 | No | 39.91K |
| Krejza68 | No | 32.93K |
| AlexiosV | No | 29.55K |
| 57284910 | No | 24.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
