Analytics
Yes is at 22.8%, up 5.8 points from 17% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.4% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14%. Its largest one-day move was 7.1 points up, to 11.9% on 7 Oct 2026.
75k to 100k ranks third of the 7 outcomes in “How many jobs added in October?”. 100k+ leads at 29.5%; 50k to 75k is at 28%.
$22.38 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.92K since listing. The order book holds $922.76, with a 26.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 68 trades, $154.27 bought Yes and $597.78 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 361 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 328. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 21.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 361.43 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 328 |
| CrazyCat-Kiwi | Yes | 320 |
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-october-2026
| thursdays | No | 208.84 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 205.02 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 41.91 |
| Neon Atlas F332 | Yes | 20.67 |
| Fitting-Cost | Yes | 20 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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