Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52%. Yes opened at 34% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 3 Jul 2025, the highest close was 68% on 25 Jun 2025 and the lowest 34% on 10 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 52% on 3 Jul 2025. $32.67K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 3 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 34.0% |
| 3 Jul 2025 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.79K |
| Ivory Tide B73D | No | 1K |
| Violet Vector B233 | No | 139 |
| Muted-Bass | Yes | 94.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2025, scheduled to be released on July 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-june-441
| jkali225 | No | 35.71 |
| 70972 | No | 12.82 |
| JoE | No | 10.4 |
| Luba | No | 4.76 |
| XzSZijQ | No | 2.78 |
| ElroyKerst | No | 1.35 |
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