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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.69 | $0.650 | $4.17 | -$0.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.54 |
| $0.234 |
| $0.66 |
| -$1.34 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 79.37 | $0.063 | $0.12 | -$4.88 |
| sell |
| 1.12 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.12 |
| May 13, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 31.91 | $0.001 | $0.03 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.063 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.403 | $13.43 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.904 | $4.89 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.072 | $2.58 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.004 | $0.16 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.367 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | sell | 9.52 | $0.425 | $4.05 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.924 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 220.43 | $0.031 | $6.83 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 220.44 | $0.023 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.077 | $3.09 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Too late" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 45.12 | $0.085 | $3.84 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 11.32 | $0.550 | $6.23 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.62 | $0.181 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will PSG vs. Flamengo end in a draw in regular time?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 16.42 | $0.200 | $3.28 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.094 | $3 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | Nov 24, 2025 |