Analytics
Will the US add at least 150k jobs in November?
economyActive
Closes Dec 4, 2026 UTC
Yes
19.5%
No
80.5%
Yes costs 19.5¢No costs 80.5¢
24h Volume
$20
Total volume
$655
Liquidity
$3.8K
Closes
Dec 4, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 19.5%, down 8 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 11 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 11 Nov 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
150k+ is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “How many jobs added in November?”, ahead of 75k to 100k at 16.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 7.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 31 trades, $33.62 bought Yes and $369.89 bought No.
Trading closes on 4 Dec 2026, 20 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 11 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | 27.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 19.5% |
All outcomes
How many jobs added in November?
- 1150k+This market$655.07 traded19.5%
- 275k to 100k$1.65K traded16.5%
- 3<25k
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 131.42 |
| cigarettes | No | 85 |
| buyat89 | Yes | 62 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm. Trading closes on 4 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports