Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 23 Jan 2026.
Across the 252 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 2 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.7%; a month before, 2.3%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 43.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
2.0–2.4% ranks ninth of the 9 outcomes in “U.K. Annual Inflation 2026”. 3.5–3.9% leads at 51.3%; 3.0–3.4% is at 34%.
$19.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.12K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 314 trades, $419.71 bought Yes and $5.05K bought No; the largest was a $3.84K buy of No at 76.1¢.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 82.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 252 points, 23 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.28K |
| FrozenParasite | No | 1.64K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 1.01K |
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026
| krutanol | Yes | 356 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 320.32 |
| rocky42006 | Yes | 300 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 183.28 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 171.59 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 147.63 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 128.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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