Analytics
Yes is at 2.3%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 23 Jan 2026.
The high was 50% on 23 Jan 2026 and the low 1.1% on 20 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.8%; a month ago, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 40% on 1 May 2026.
1.5–1.9% ranks sixth of the 9 outcomes in “U.K. Annual Inflation 2026”. 3.5–3.9% leads at 56.3%; 3.0–3.4% is at 18.5%.
$3.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.33K, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 108 trades, $12.43 bought Yes and $1.57K bought No.
The largest Yes position is CAQZeroSeats with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Jan 2027, 106 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 2:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 234 points · 23 Jan 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 2.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.24K |
| CAQZeroSeats | Yes | 1.01K |
| YoungAlphaGoat | No | 454.33 |
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026
| Haradwaith | Yes | 398.46 |
| AJSV | Yes | 152.52 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 147.63 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 127.5 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 121.71 |
| Betoherrera | Yes | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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