Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, up 28 points from 11% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 16 Oct 2026. The current quote, 38.5%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 37.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 37.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Winner”.
$1.4K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.32K since listing. The order book holds $355.89, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 51 trades, $176.42 bought Yes and $214.4 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 93 shares; the largest No position is Amber Ledger 7857 with 58. Ten wallets hold 83% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 14 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 92.6 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 80 |
| Amber Ledger 7857 | No | 57.5 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-documentary-short-film-winner-20261013180153422
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 40 |
| Haradwaith | No | 35.2 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | Yes | 21 |
| tiongbu | Yes | 20.1 |
| Carabao | No | 20 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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