Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 29 Jun 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.7% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 27.7% on 3 May 2026. $2.92K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 29 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 1.6% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.78K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 3.36K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.98K |
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-week-in-2026
| korda77 | Yes | 2.47K |
| merod | Yes | 1.96K |
| akko123 | Yes | 1K |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 816.05 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 792.99 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 623.62 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 558 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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