Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 11 points from 11.3% when the market opened on 22 Apr 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.4% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 41.4% on 2 May 2026.
Dune: Messiah ranks fourth of the 4 outcomes in “Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?”. Avengers: Doomsday leads at 52.5%; Spider-Man: Brand New Day is at 48%.
$5.08K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $22.61K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 107 trades, $6.82 bought Yes and $2.24K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Lucerys with 7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 42.5K. Ten wallets hold 84.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Feb 2027, 96 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 11.3% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.48K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 7.01K |
| donthackme | Yes | 6.89K |
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-biggest-opening-week-in-2026
| Bigggggggg |
| Yes |
| 3.36K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.97K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 2.46K |
| korda77 | Yes | 2.43K |
| merod | Yes | 1.88K |
| alivedeer | Yes | 1.35K |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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