Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 83 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 17 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.5% on 25 Dec 2025.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 3:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 17 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.98K |
| haruk098 | Yes | 976 |
| Rapid Pulse C73C | Yes | 800 |
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-march
| Yes |
| 629.83 |
| wtfsss | Yes | 511.39 |
| Impure-Contour | Yes | 501.04 |
| FAFOut | Yes | 438.57 |
| aaronapex123 | Yes | 436.72 |
| frumosgros | Yes | 416.66 |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 409.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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