Analytics
Yes is at 22.4%, up 16 points from 6% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 21.8% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 28 Oct 2026. The current quote, 22.4%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 21.8% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.3 points up, to 21.8% on 30 Oct 2026.
74,000-76,000 ranks second of the 11 outcomes in “Bitcoin price on October 31?”. 76,000-78,000 leads at 46.4%; 78,000-80,000 is at 22%.
$8.82K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.47K since listing. The order book holds $20.66K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 71 trades, $901.37 bought Yes and $4.49K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 4.7K shares; the largest No position is Rapid Maven 7394 with 4.2K. Ten wallets hold 97.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 21.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 4.74K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 4.19K |
| woshisb | No | 2.37K |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-october-31-2026
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 1.79K |
| gt197 | Yes | 1.51K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1.44K |
| 0xDB5 | No | 339 |
| ftrxc64afn | Yes | 311.91 |
| 0xVincent | Yes | 200 |
| averagerandomman | Yes | 151.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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