Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 10 points from 11% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.8 points down, to 1.8% on 30 Oct 2026.
84,000-86,000 ranks sixth of the 11 outcomes in “Bitcoin price on October 31?”. 76,000-78,000 leads at 46.2%; 78,000-80,000 is at 29%.
$1.84K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.69K since listing. The order book holds $29.93K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 22 trades, $57.38 bought Yes and $1.48K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Emotional-Marshmallow with 997 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.8K.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.79K |
| Emotional-Marshmallow | Yes | 996.97 |
| averagerandomman | Yes | 792.02 |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-october-31-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 400 |
| Eternalsilence | Yes | 299.99 |
| 0xDB5 | No | 218.1 |
| 0xVincent | Yes | 200 |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 123.78 |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ8 | No | 36.9 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 32.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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