Analytics
Yes is at 97.2%, up 20 points from 77% when the market opened on 28 May 2026.
Across the 152 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 56% on 4 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 97.5%; a month before, 99.7%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 56% on 4 Jun 2026.
It is one of 22 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations”.
$20.24 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.88K since listing. The order book holds $29.61K, with a 3.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 91 trades, $944.74 bought Yes and $68.38 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Artvanderlee with 240 shares; the largest No position is Yonbon with 210. Ten wallets hold 81.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 28 May 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 77.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 97.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Artvanderlee | Yes | 240 |
| Yonbon | No | 210.36 |
| RidingWithTheGhost | Yes | 143.73 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.oscars.org/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167
10 more markets, none above 26.5%.
| oliman2 |
| No |
| 129.51 |
| planktonXD | No | 101.33 |
| clydedonovan | Yes | 100 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 95.18 |
| doil | Yes | 78.6 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 70.25 |
| GUINESS123 | Yes | 64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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