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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | 1.05K | $0.965 | $1.01K | -$6.26 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 75 | $0.350 | $26.25 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 675 |
| $0.610 |
| $577.13 |
| +$165.38 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 537.46 | $0.868 | $497.15 | +$30.69 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 349.27 | $0.866 | $298.63 | -$3.75 |
 Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 240 | $0.967 | $233.52 | +$1.5 |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 378.72 | $0.670 | $204.51 | -$49.44 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 281.7 | $0.728 | $198.6 | -$6.49 |
| Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 197.42 | $0.940 | $172.35 | -$13.23 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.65K | $0.055 | $170.93 | +$25.18 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 170 | $0.936 | $152.15 | -$7.05 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 120 | $0.910 | $118.02 | +$8.82 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 97.32 | $0.906 | $94.55 | +$6.37 |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 100 | $0.810 | $82 | +$1 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 80.76 | $0.684 | $73.29 | +$18.04 |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 140 | $0.583 | $72.1 | -$9.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? | Yes | 69.65 | $0.950 | $65.12 | -$1.04 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.340 | $56 | -$12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 145.45 | $0.454 | $41.45 | -$24.55 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 39.99 | $0.740 | $36.99 | +$7.4 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | No | 75 | $0.350 | $29.25 | +$3 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 246.89 | $0.242 | $21.85 | -$37.83 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 90 | $0.480 | $21.15 | -$22.05 |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 57.08 | $0.545 | $19.12 | -$12.01 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 30 | $0.495 | $11.18 | -$3.67 |
 Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026? | Yes | 50.1 | $0.210 | $10.77 | +$0.25 |
| buy |
| 235.68 |
| $0.730 |
| $171.95 |
| 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 46.02 | $0.720 | $33.13 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 645.53 | $0.929 | $600 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 675 | $0.610 | $411.75 | 14d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 301.3 | $0.291 | $87.63 | 22d ago |
| Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 26d ago |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.985 | $492.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.340 | $68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No | buy | 69.5 | $0.975 | $67.76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?No | buy | 175 | $0.999 | $174.83 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.990 | $1.19 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 302.22 | $0.757 | $228.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.780 | $233.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.38 | $0.757 | $42.68 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?No | buy | 67.35 | $0.995 | $67.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?No | buy | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.988 | $11.44 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?No | buy | 40 | $0.987 | $39.48 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 159.99 | $0.001 | $0.16 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.001 | $0.18 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.200 | $27.98 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.5 | $0.769 | $15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.701 | $4.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 263.3 | $0.700 | $184.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.699 | $7 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.698 | $29.51 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 43.53 | $0.813 | $35.39 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 537.45 | $0.860 | $462.21 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Hilary Benn be in the Burnham cabinet?No | buy | 8.39 | $0.994 | $8.34 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Hilary Benn be in the Burnham cabinet?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.6 | $0.779 | $15.27 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.779 | $7.55 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.64 | $0.827 | $12.11 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.826 | $13.54 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.84 | $0.824 | $5.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.842 | $12.15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.856 | $4.28 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.855 | $14.01 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.29 | $0.871 | $8.96 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.856 | $4.52 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 260.31 | $0.916 | $238.38 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.909 | $27.27 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.16 | $0.661 | $16.63 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.642 | $3.31 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.316 | $3.48 | Jul 20, 2026 |