Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 86% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 20 Jul 2026 and the lowest 86% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 93.5% on 25 Jun 2026. $24.55K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 8:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 86.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RustyScissors | No | 288.5 |
| Lurt | No | 115.13 |
| Keen Scout EB71 | No | 101.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-uk-prime-minister-appointed-by-20260622183221153
| No |
| 100 |
| meow-123 | No | 83.03 |
| hspje89 | No | 69.91 |
| 34gh | No | 60 |
| TeenagePanda | No | 25.92 |
| Mob-Dzi | No | 16.79 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
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