
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.7%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 31.5% on 6 Sep 2026 and the low 0.1% on 11 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 3.5% on 8 Sep 2026. $3.72K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 4:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 5 Sep 2026 – 21 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 22.5% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 25.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.77K |
| LonelyScissors | Yes | 2K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.41K |
| 0xairzz | Yes | 299.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-4pt7-released-onptptpt
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 135 |
| VersionAnswer | Yes | 118 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| EAB... | Yes | 8.78 |
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