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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch | Yes | 39.47 | $0.760 | $28.62 | -$1.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?Yes | sell | 291.37 | $0.350 | $101.98 | 17h ago |
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| No |
| 200 |
| $0.010 |
| $2.7 |
| +$0.7 |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.002 | $0.75 | +$0.25 |
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.002 | $0.65 | +$0.45 |
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 20, 2026? | Yes | 45 | $0.002 | $0.32 | +$0.23 |
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 19, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.002 | $0.18 | +$0.13 |
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.002 | $0.15 | +$0.1 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.370 |
| $18.5 |
| 17h ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.540 | $13.17 | 17h ago |
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?Yes | buy | 210.9 | $0.480 | $101.23 | 18h ago |
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | 18h ago |
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | 18h ago |
Will LAPTOP launch on Base?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | 21h ago |
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 2d ago |
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | 2d ago |
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.640 | $4.48 | 2d ago |
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 3d ago |
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 4d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.014 | $1.96 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.024 | $2.42 | 6d ago |
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 10d ago |
Will "Loser - Tame Impala" be the #2 song this week?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.950 | $23.75 | 12d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.009 | $0.69 | 12d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.490 | $3.45 | 12d ago |
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 20d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | 20d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 26d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.005 | $0.11 | 26d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.19 | $0.046 | $0.33 | 26d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 26d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 26d ago |
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launchYes | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | 27d ago |
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | 27d ago |
Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 27d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | 27d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | 27d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 27d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | 27d ago |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 28d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp | buy | 8.15 | $0.123 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 37.39 | $0.080 | $3 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.930 | $4.97 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsEternal Fire | sell | 13.15 | $0.248 | $3.26 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsEternal Fire | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsJoblife | buy | 10 | $0.425 | $4.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 7?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.061 | $0.12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.190 | $0.38 | Aug 7, 2026 |