Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 36% on 1 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 7 Oct 2026, the highest close was 52% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15% on 6 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 24.5% on 4 Oct 2026. $730.13 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 6:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 36.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.96 |
| meitalg | Yes | 17 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces an expansion team in Las Vegas between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying announcement is an official NBA announcement that the league has selected an ownership group for a Las Vegas expansion franchise, or that its Board of Governors has approved an expansion franchise in Las Vegas. An announcement of a selected ownership group will qualify even if Board of Governors approval or completion of the transaction is still pending. The announcement must be made through the NBA's official channels or by the NBA Commissioner or another authorized NBA representative. Announcements that the league is exploring or evaluating expansion, general statements of interest in or intent to expand to Las Vegas, bidding deadlines or timelines, lists of finalist bidders, statements made only by a bidding group or other third parties, and media reports not confirmed by an official NBA announcement will not qualify. The franchise's home market must be in the Las Vegas metropolitan area (Clark County, Nevada). The relocation of an existing NBA franchise will not qualify. A qualifying announcement will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the team is scheduled to begin play, or whether the selection or approval is later reversed. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-to-announce-expansion-team-in-las-vegas-by
| pad6 | Yes | 3.98 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 1.04 |
| ZhouCD | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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