Analytics
Yes is at 46%, down 24 points from 69.5% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 26 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21%. Its largest one-day move was 60 points down, to 14.5% on 10 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “NBA to announce expansion team in Las Vegas by...?”.
$211.93 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $955.18 since listing. The order book holds $11.58, with a 89.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $137.94 bought Yes and $264.96 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 72 shares; the largest No position is loag with 143. Ten wallets hold 94% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 69.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| loag | No | 143.34 |
| memetal | No | 102.37 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 72.29 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces an expansion team in Las Vegas between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying announcement is an official NBA announcement that the league has selected an ownership group for a Las Vegas expansion franchise, or that its Board of Governors has approved an expansion franchise in Las Vegas. An announcement of a selected ownership group will qualify even if Board of Governors approval or completion of the transaction is still pending. The announcement must be made through the NBA's official channels or by the NBA Commissioner or another authorized NBA representative. Announcements that the league is exploring or evaluating expansion, general statements of interest in or intent to expand to Las Vegas, bidding deadlines or timelines, lists of finalist bidders, statements made only by a bidding group or other third parties, and media reports not confirmed by an official NBA announcement will not qualify. The franchise's home market must be in the Las Vegas metropolitan area (Clark County, Nevada). The relocation of an existing NBA franchise will not qualify. A qualifying announcement will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the team is scheduled to begin play, or whether the selection or approval is later reversed. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-to-announce-expansion-team-in-las-vegas-by
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 |
| Yes |
| 55 |
| bZk0Uo | Yes | 46.71 |
| ttsnail0100 | No | 34.89 |
| StarMaster | Yes | 32 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | Yes | 23.67 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 19 |
| a5533 | Yes | 18.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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