Analytics
Yes is at 26%, about where the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.3% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.9%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 2.4% on 7 Oct 2026.
$1.062M - $1.083M ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?”. <$1.062M leads at 60.4%; $1.083M - $1.104M is at 4.5%.
$70 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.61K since listing. The order book holds $2.54K, with a 3.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 184 trades, $254.44 bought Yes and $1.36K bought No.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 369 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 92.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.12K |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 368.71 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 300.25 |
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/60)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-san-francisco-metro-area-be-on-december-31
| molodoyy | Yes | 276.78 |
| jcharger | Yes | 81.16 |
| cigarettes | No | 60 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 43.97 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 39.01 |
| galhammerman | No | 30 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 26.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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