Analytics
Yes is at 3.4% on Polymarket.
$1.125M - $1.146M ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?”. <$1.062M leads at 60.5%; $1.062M - $1.083M is at 22.3%.
$3.06K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $654.06, with a 5.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 158 trades, $175.21 bought Yes and $1.18K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 381 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 91.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:45 PM UTC
Hourly closes of the Yes price, Vultax timebars, 25 points, 29 Oct, 13:00 UTC – 30 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 3.4% |
| 30 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.12K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 380.99 |
| balthazar | Yes | 187.67 |
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/60)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-san-francisco-metro-area-be-on-december-31
| crossFiter | Yes | 94.88 |
| jcharger | Yes | 82.47 |
| 0x2b240 | Yes | 70 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 62.81 |
| Stingy-Racing | Yes | 60 |
| cigarettes | No | 60 |
| qcp10 | Yes | 49.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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