Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 29% on 9 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 9 May 2026 to 5 Jun 2026, the highest close was 29% on 9 May 2026 and the lowest 18% on 10 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 18% on 10 May 2026. $2.56K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 2:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 9 May 2026 – 5 Jun 2026, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | 29.0% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.02K |
| firegold | Yes | 99.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer 6FC8 | Yes | 45.45 |
| Miracle3 | Yes | 43.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/may-unemployment-rate-168
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 34.77 |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 31.61 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| animal.bean | Yes | 10 |
| daanicccch | Yes | 8.7 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
