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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nike say "Pink" during earnings call?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.6 |
| $0.952 |
| $5.33 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 3?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Constellation Brands say "Shipment" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | buy | 49.58 | $0.213 | $10.56 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.66 | $0.260 | $5.37 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.740 | $4.54 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.214 | $4.42 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | sell | 42.28 | $0.291 | $12.29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 42.28 | $0.212 | $8.98 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 16 | $0.840 | $13.44 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.4 | $0.150 | $4.26 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.860 | $4.82 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 9.19 | $0.989 | $9.09 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?Up | sell | 39.36 | $0.560 | $22.04 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?Up | buy | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.880 | $11.42 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No | buy | 12.98 | $0.840 | $10.9 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.937 | $4.69 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.270 | $4.86 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.218 | $3.92 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.280 | $5.04 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.770 | $6.16 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.410 | $5.74 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 79.54 | $0.017 | $1.33 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.240 | $4.32 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 33.93 | $0.121 | $4.11 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.230 | $5.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.960 | $5.53 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.970 | $18.65 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.182 | $1.46 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.700 | $10.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.983 | $13.76 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.130 | $3.38 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.813 | $4.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 26?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.130 | $3.38 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.150 | $2.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 16 | $0.750 | $12 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.870 | $6.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?Yes | sell | 20.13 | $0.210 | $4.23 | Jun 23, 2026 |