Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 46 points from 47% when the market opened on 17 Dec 2025.
Across the 290 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.9%; a month before, 1.6%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 9.5% on 18 Dec 2025.
Justice and Welfare (UCID) ranks third of the 4 outcomes in “Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner”. No election before 2027 leads at 95%; Waddani is at 3.2%.
$6.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.81K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 189 trades, $38.97 bought Yes and $3.25K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Noxious-Subtitle with 480 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 88.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 290 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 47.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.18K |
| Noxious-Subtitle | Yes | 480 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 454.47 |
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner
| planktonXD | Yes | 348.65 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 208.03 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 131.06 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 92.95 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 91.98 |
| onforme | No | 78.8 |
| orin40 | Yes | 77.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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