Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 6% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jun 2026. $9.82K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 12:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 4.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 508.85 |
| Royal Harbor 217A | Yes | 227.99 |
| Alyosm | Yes | 166.67 |
| Cavernous-Fill | Yes | 34.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-flotilla-reach-gaza-by-may-31
| Coral Oracle 4399 | Yes | 20 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 13 |
| Gaile | Yes | 11 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 11 |
| Fodenn | Yes | 11 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 10 |
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