Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 95.83 | $0.083 | $2.16 | -$5.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.82 | $0.102 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 28.57 |
| $0.210 |
| $1.86 |
| -$4.14 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.32 | -$0.69 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.060 |
| $1 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.035 | $0.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.010 | $0.13 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.23 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.010 | $0.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.157 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 65.49 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.138 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.308 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes | sell | 123.5 | $0.051 | $6.31 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?Yes | buy | 61.36 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.9 | $0.355 | $6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?Yes | buy | 34.33 | $0.029 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes | buy | 123.5 | $0.049 | $6 | Apr 25, 2026 |