Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 18, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	132.86K	0.0%	$0
e46m3	Yes	8.76K	11.1%	$972.78
cry.eth2	Yes	6.38K	0.0%	$0	Mar 17, 11:11 AM UTC
yangguang0511	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3
Bigggggggg	Yes	2.77K	11.1%	$307.24
morilun	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2
products	Yes	1.1K	11.1%	$121.86
Scornful-Conductor	Yes	949.51	11.1%	$105.5	Mar 17, 11:11 AM UTC
pd.unique	Yes	612.4	11.1%	$68.04
paspor	Yes	546	11.1%	$60.67
cash-machine	Yes	530.96	11.1%	$59
korda77	Yes	399.42	11.1%	$44.38
mustbethewater	Yes	180	0.0%	$0	Mar 15, 11:41 AM UTC
16r0ob	Yes	170.7	0.4%	$0.73	Mar 16, 11:33 PM UTC
snic	Yes	153.55	0.6%	$0.88	Mar 9, 4:22 PM UTC
wendypeekaboo	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
human.bean	Yes	81.91	0.0%	$0	Mar 16, 3:50 PM UTC
fang1957	Yes	80	0.2%	$0.16
HerrieDavis	Yes	79.83	0.0%	$0
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	79	0.0%	$0
pp155	Yes	64.66	0.0%	$0
nryy	Yes	55.9	0.7%	$0.4	Mar 17, 1:55 PM UTC
Daniel.Wang	Yes	50	11.1%	$5.56
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	42	0.0%	$0
ontouch	Yes	37	11.1%	$4.11
nachiket2067	Yes	33.2	5.0%	$1.66	Jan 30, 11:38 PM UTC
rated	Yes	25.11	0.0%	$0	Mar 17, 11:11 AM UTC
nrnn	Yes	22.59	0.0%	$0
Unique-Index	Yes	15	0.0%	$0	Mar 17, 11:11 AM UTC
asfdt18	Yes	9.38	0.5%	$0.05
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	6.67	0.0%	$0
3umf	Yes	5.27	0.9%	$0.05
jjzzh	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
animal.bean	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
shine	Yes	0.33	11.5%	$0.04	Mar 16, 1:15 PM UTC
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	0.33	0.5%	$0	Feb 8, 4:35 AM UTC
NoMoreMister	Yes	0.26	8.7%	$0.02	Mar 15, 11:41 AM UTC
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.15	9.1%	$0.01	Mar 16, 1:15 PM UTC
286mgfr	Yes	0.14	0.5%	$0	Mar 12, 2:06 AM UTC